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(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 28 …not a given that some people can cooperate and share territory whereas others must be divided…
  • p. 95 …guilty of mistreating Indians who are not cooperative. It may be that Sendero Luminoso has driven…
  • p. 106 …In the Guate- malan case, it has been a cooperative movement with inputs from the Catholic…
  • p. 130 …2018/06/01 C00123268 ' the loyalty, allegiance, and cooperation of ethnic groups whose interests were perceived…
  • p. 142 …Not surprisingly, the League vacil- lated between periods of cooperation with the Con- gress and periods…
  • p. 192 …Active cooperation in this partnership could lay the foundation for full NATO membership. In short, future…
  • p. 193 …We must now extend these habits of cooperation to the East. 183 I I Approved for…
  • p. 197 …UN or the Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe—and as long as certain rules…
  • p. 201 …Learning About Conflict and Cooperation Much of the discussion during the past few days has focused…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
failed to protect ethnic minorities, the collapse of the
nation-state has not offered an appealing alternative.
Can Europe’s ethnic problems be solved by redrawing
state frontiers? National and ethnic identities existed
for centuries before state borders were drawn and
redrawn, usually by outside ii’1I6I'6SI1S. What year
would we use to define the nation-state structure in
Europe? 1993? 1989? 1945? I917? Clearly, there is no
magic formula. While we should not encourage that
ethnic conflict be solved by changing national bound-
aries, we should not exclude that these boundaries can
be changed by peaceful means. As in the case of a
reunified Germany, border ch'anges can be counte-
nanced by the intemational community if they are
accepted by all interested parties and accompanied by
guarantees protecting individual rights and minority
communities. ‘
A Kinder and Gentler Europe
Is there an ideal—or even preferable—state structure
for Europe today? Perhaps this is the wrong question.
We should rather ask how Europe can best accommo-
date individual rights, as well: as national and ethnic
pluralism? Clearly, there are no simple answers. How-
ever, we might begin by contemplating a Europe that
is both more united and less centralized. While the
nation-state remains the mostésignificant unit in
Europe today, its political role is increasingly being
supplemented by both supemational and subnational
units. This development is fraught not only with dan-
gers but also with opportunities for a kinder and gen-
tler Continent.
'
A Europe, which respects individual and ethnic rights,
can only be achieved on a democratic basis if there is
grass roots involvement in the process. Logically,
decisions are best made at the lowest possible level.
Europeans have dubbed this concept—in the best
Brussels bureaucratese—"subsidiarity’; Americans
might call it “federalism.” This very American
approach can lead to practical, not ideological, solu-
tions to local problems from garbage collection to
minority rights, from electing jregional govemments to
establishing native-language schools.
i
Autonomy can lead to anarchy, however, unless it is
accompanied by rules of the road to guide the devel-
opment of a civil society in the East. Without an active
partnership with the West, it is doubtful whether this
model can flourish in nations unaccustomed to unre-
strained democracy. Thus, the process of devolution
of power, particularly in the East, could exacerbate
ethnic tensions and ultimately threaten democracy
unless it is guided by institutions based on shared val-
ues. The only appropriate Western response is to inte-
grate the countries east of the Oder-Niesse line to the
family of democratic nations. This must be done in the
political sphere by supporting Eastem reform and
reformers, in the economic sphere by opening Western
markets to Eastern goods and in the strategic sphere
by opening Eastem Europe and eventually nations of
the former Soviet Union into Westem security struc-
tures.
NATO: A New Mission
The security of Europe is indivisible. Ethnic conflict,
ultranationalism, or massive flows of refugees any-
where threaten stability everywhere, including the
most advanced West European democracies. What
happens in Central and Eastern Europe also has a
direct bearing on the fate of the Newly Independent
States (NIS)-—and vice versa. Without the successful
expansion of the democratic community of nations to
the East, the stability of Europe cannot be guaranteed.
A stable security framework, in the view of many
Eastem democrats, is a precondition for building
democracies and strong economies in their part of the
world. While this argument can easily be tumed
around-—bui1ding viable economies is the best way to
ensure security—there is no doubt that this perception
is widely shared.
Three times in this century the United States has been
drawn into European wars (two hot, one cold). We
have learned through painful history that the United
States cannot remain indifferent to threats to European
stability. The ethnic conflicts in the former Yugoslavia
should serve as a poignant reminder that Europe is
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Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.