Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
replacement level soon. This is encouraging, because
Indonesia is the world’s most populous Islamic nation.
It is not a highly industrialized state, but the govem-
ment keeps pushing the idea publicly that small fami-
lies are happy families. I think that is worth
considering in many parts of the world that are grow-
ing rapidly.
General Discussion
DR. WIXMAN: In light of a comment made by Pro-
fessor Mikesell, I agree that, in terms of conflict reso-
lution, the example of Finland is superb. Why did the
Finns give such rights to the Swedes? Because they
had been under Russian rule. A little earlier in history,
when Ru_ssia took Finland from Sweden, it was anti-
Swedishism that became the symbolism in pro-Russi-
anism.
What we need to look at in terms of conflict resolution
is how reconciliation can take place. The reason
Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been
reconciliation. Similarly there will be no ability for
Bosnian Croats, Serbs, and Muslims to live together
until reconciliation occurs.
DR. MIKESELL: Another example of a government
maintaining a keen awareness of minority-group
needs would be that ofrthe Netherlands. About 10 per-
cent of the country’s population is Frisian, but only
10 percent of the Frisians vote for the Frisian National
Party. There is a Frisian academy; there are chairs in
the language in Dutch universities. It is almost as
though the government has said to the Frisians, “You
are recognized. We would be pleased if you would
engage in activities to promote your identity. We’ ll
even subsidize it.”
Also, Switzerland recognized its Romansche-speakers
before they clamored for recognition. This is partly
because Mussolini considered Romansche to be an
Italian dialect, and that frightened the Swiss. But we
have so few other examples of that happening. I
would say that treating a 10-percent minority as
though it were a 49-percent minority works, but it
requires extraordinary sophistication on behalf of the
majority side.
There are four core-applied questions that come to
mind:
' Under what circumstances do ethnic groups become
politicized in the first place‘?
' Under what circumstances do politicized groups
come into conflict?
' What circumstances aggravate or ameliorate con-
flict?
' What are the implications of conflict for national!
intemational order?
Those are, it seems to me, the strongest set of applied
questions we should deal with. If there is a message
related to those questions, each one of which could be
addressed at some length, it seems to me, it is that we
are not living in a simple world. I will avoid the ugly
term complexification, but it seems to me that what
continues to come across is that context matters, and
context is a complicated array of things that come
together.
If there is a value to geography, it is not that it studies
a particular thing but that it tries to look at how things
come together and interact with core concepts like ter-
ritory, location, and environment. The key advantage
of a geographical perspective is its ability to try to
think about the relationships among and between phe-
nomena in places. This is where political science and
geography really come together. Politics and power
are expressed territorially, and looking at the relation-
ships among and between the territorial units and the
expression of powers is critical to understanding the
circumstances that lead to each of those four applied
questions that I noted.
DR. DE BLIJ: The examples that Dr. Mikesell men-
tioned of countries that were gracious to their minori-
ties were also countries that were relatively well off at
the time they made those concessions.
When Germany was thriving, the Turkish minority
was welcome. When Germany had an economic
recession, the Turkish minority became disliked.
176
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.