Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
‘Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
Forced Migration and Ethnicity
Lee Schwartz
Office of the Geographer
Department’ of State
Introduction
The main reason for deciding to speak on forced
migration and ethnicity is because I recently
addressed that topic at a conference——organized by
the International Geographical Union's Commission
on Population Geography in Ljubljana, Slovenia-—
which focused on the topic of ethnicity and geogra-
phy. Obviously this is a topic that is of current concem
not just in the United States but also in other areas of
the world; indeed, one of the major causal factors—
and consequences—of forced migration in the world
today is ethnic conflict. When I found out that Dr.
Kenzer was going to speak on a similar topic, I
thoughtl would attempt to organize my comments
today more broadly in order to address also some
related humanitarian issues; after all, this session is
titled, “Perspectives on Demographic and Humanitar-
ian Issues.” I think my role here today, therefore, will
be to highlight a few of these perspectives, some of
which have already been mentioned and others of
which may be new. '
When dealing with the topic of forced migration-
particularly in trying to understand its ethnic compo-
nents--three themes come to mind. These are some-
what in line with what the current administration
probably considers its priorities:
' Human rights. From a global perspective, human
rights with respect to migration are severely limited
because little freedom of movement exists on an
intemational scale. Both refugee movement and
“free,” or economic, migration are heavily con-
trolled by increasingly stringent regimes and quotas.
~ Democracy. We have heard about a lot of geo-
graphic concepts——such as national territoriality,
regionalism, homeland, and_frontier—-at this confer-
ence. It is instructive to see how these might mani-
fest themselves in terms of democratic principles,
particularly concerning the right of self-determina-
tion in a world where the traditional state system is
admittedly breaking up (if not down). Where do you
draw boundaries? Which people get to determine on
which territory lies the future of their own ethnic
communities? Another factor to consider is access to
power; when people are eliminated from access to
power, it often is a causal factor of warfare, which
tends to produce forced migrations.
' Conflict resolution. I think Wade Hinkle yesterday
raised a good point. Hindsight is 20/20, and geogra-
phers have been strong in terms of trying to under-
stand regions and relationships between ethnicity
and territoriality, but geographic knowledge is not
necessarily sufficient in terms of trying to come to a
resolution of some conflict that has already begun.
Most geographic analysis has not been predictive in
terms of where conflict will break out. I think that
geography and geographers can best contribute to an
understanding of ethnic conflict by focusing not on
conflict resolution but on preventing conflict exacer-
bation.
Typology of Forced Migration
My office director, Bill Wood, has developed a typol-
ogy of forced migration that we have applied to differ-
ent regions to help understand different causal
components of forced migration (see figure 15). It is
not necessarily important in this model to draw dis-
tinctions between refugees, forced migrants, and inter-
nally displaced persons, although when it comes to
providing humanitarian aid or support, refugees are
favored over both internally displaced persons and
illegal immigrants, who tend to “disappear” and are
not accorded rights in the countries in which they live.
There is also an ethnic component to each of the three
subsets shown on figure 15. It is strongest in the cate-
gory of political instability and civil unrest—largely
govemmental persecution. That is because this perse-
cution is often directed toward a particular ethnic
group or may have consequences for specific ethnic
groups. Ethnicity is a factor when looking at forced
157
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

Not linked to a story yet.

About this file

FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.