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(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 9 …He also dis- cusses how various groups have reacted to rising terri- torial nationalism. Approved for…
  • p. 18 …The issue of sense of territory is thus closely linked to the second core terri- torial…
  • p. 19 …The latter encompasses laws that set aside some terri- tory for a given ethnic group. The…
  • p. 28 …The link between territory, identity, and terri- toriality becomes especially dynamic when discord exists between two…
  • p. 32 …Murphy made about ethnic mobili- zation and socioeconomic status as they relate to terri- toriality. Dr…
  • p. 33 …suggest giving the old provinces more political-terri- torial significance within the state. Then their citizens…
  • p. 50 …The Serbs want Krajina as a piece of geographical terri- tory, and the Serbs who live…
  • p. 52 …Sovereignty over European terri- tory was initially determined by church and dynastic settlements following periodic warfare…
  • p. 66 …That may mean some of the kinds of terri- torial policies that I suggested. It also…
  • p. 76 …National identity and terri- torial identity have been intimately interrelated, and a rising sense of national…
  • p. 79 …The big- gest threat to Russia today in terms of its intemal terri- torial integrity is…
  • p. 153 …The real crux of the terri- torial problem is one of scale because the homoge- neity…
  • p. 184 …Nevertheless, many geographers will agree that one of the most important characteristics of‘terri- tory is…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
Summary of Discussion
v
Discussant: Robert Stoddard
I am going to try to achieve two things: first, integrate
content with what Alex Murphy said yesterday about
general principles through an illustration in South
Asia, using Sri Lanka as an example and, second,
build upon what Dr. Schwartzberg has said about the
background of ethnic diversity in South Asia, but giv-
ing a slightly different prediction about India’s politi-
cal future.
'
The ethnic conflict in Sri Lanka is primarily between
the Sri Lankan Tamils and the, mostly Sinhalese gov-
ernment. The Tamils want greater political control
over their lives; therefore, they seek greater autonomy
or even sovereignty over a specific territory. My com-
ments pertain to the controversy over the delineation
of such an area, a territory I will call “the Tamil
region.” .
At first glance, it would seem that a map showing the
spatial distribution of people according to their ethnic-
ity would provide a fairly objective method for draw-
ing boundaries. However, even so-called objective
regionalization depends upon agreement about, at
least, four conditions which involve fundamental geo-
graphic issues. These are:
~ The definition of the pertinent population. What
constitutes membership in the ethnic group being
regionalized is illustrated in §ri Lanka by the uncer-
tain status of those classified as Indian Tamils.
Because the Indian Tamils have an uncertain citizen-
ship status, have been less politically active, and
generally belong to a lower caste than the Sri Lan-
kan Tamils, they are usually omitted from the popu-
lation that defines the Tamil region. But such an
omission is not universally accepted and, as I will
presently show, the inclusion of Indian Tamils can
make a difference.
i
~ The definition of ethnic territory. Territorial belong-
ingness is normally based upon the existence of a
demographic majority. But a census unit where no
group exceeds 50 percent, a case can be made for
defining territorial belongingness to the group hav-
ing only a plurality. In most administrative subdivi-
sions of Sri Lanka, one or another of the ethnic
groups has a very large majority, so the potential for
this kind of controversy is limited to only a few
areas. But these few areas are the critical places of
conflict and are where “ethnic cleansing” is most
likely to occur. Even though intense fighting has
taken place in the Tamil heartland of Jaffna, some of
the severest suffering by noncombatants has
occurred in the peripheral or frontier areas, where no
ethnic group possesses a majority.
' The size of the areal units. The real crux of the terri-
torial problem is one of scale because the homoge-
neity of a region depends upon the size of the areal
unit that is being clustered to form a regional whole.
' The decision about the necessity for regional conti-
guity. There is a strong argument for avoiding ethnic
enclaves in any administrative unit. In the Sri Lan-
kan situation, it is difficult to achieve complete con-
tiguity because of the spatial distributions of the
ethnic populations.
Let us examine this regionalization task-—that is, the
objective delineation of a Tamil region—by looking at
the distributions of ethnic populations at three areal
scales.
On the provincial level, eight of the nine Sri Lankan
provinces have large majorities consisting of only a
single ethnic group. Furthermore, their geographic
arrangement does not violate the goal of contiguity
(figure 13). In the Eastern Province, however, the larg-
est group has only a plurality. Sri Lankan Tamils, who
have the plurality in this province, insist that it should
be part of their region of control, even though it differs
a little bit from the traditional historical lands. The
government disagrees.
If we look at the district level, the complexity of the
territorial issue is even more evident. In over half the
24 districts, the majority ethnic group exceeds 80 per-
cent of the population. In only three districts does the
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Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.