Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
I
and cultural distinctions. National borders inevitably
demarcate major ethnic distinctions marked by unique
linguistic, religious, and historical traditions. Of
course there is no reason why the existence of national
distinctions as demarcated by the borders of neighbor-
ing states should necessarily induce conflict. Yet a
closer look at a few key border regions should at least
occasion cause for reflection.
Indonesia-Papua New Guinea. Indonesia, fourth-
most-populous nation on earth_, presents a generally
positive example of national integration in a multieth-
nic, geographically fragmented state. Indonesian
nationalists in this century have successfully promul-
gated a national language, wrested independence from
an intransigent Dutch metropole, welded a disparate
archipelago of 5,000 inhabited islands into a coherent
national entity, and confronted and contained a host of
regional insurrections and irredentist rebellions. Nev-
ertheless, several problem regions continue to trouble
policymakers in Jakarta.
The Indonesian state extends deep into the cultural
heartland of Melanesia on the island of New Guinea.
Here a low-level transnational conflict has festered for
years. The issue is not one of border demarcation. It
relates, more specifically, to the future of the indige-
nous Melanesian population of the Indonesian prov-
ince of Irian Jaya—populati0n, 1.6 million. This area
was not ceded to Indonesia by the Netherlands at the
transfer of sovereignty in 1949. Indeed, only after
Indonesia threatened to invade in 1962 did US pres-
sure and UN administrative machinery facilitate
Dutch withdrawal in 1963. Since that time the local
population has become increasingly marginalized in
Irian urban areas as thousands of entrepreneurial
migrants from central Indonesia have poured into the
resource-rich province. The languages and cultures of
the indigenous population are distinct from those of
central Indonesia. Rebel forces have frequently found
refuge across the border in Papua New Guinea (PNG).
Both Indonesia and the PNG national government
have worked hard to minimize border incidents. Still,
this border area could pose serious problems in the
future, problems that arise from fundamentally dis-
tinct perceptions of interest of the indigenous Irianese
population on the one hand and the government in far-
off Jakarta on the other.
A subtext on the Irian border problem is that of East
Timor. The world was shocked to learn of the Santa
Cruz cemetery massacre there in 1991. There is every
indication that during the 1975-80 period when Cam-
bodia was wracked by the autogenocidal policies of
the Khmer Rouge violations of human rights on an
equal scale were underway in EastT1mor. The armed
Timorese independence movement has been largely
quashed. The aspirations, identity, and yearning for
dignity and self-govemance of the people of East
Timor clearly remain strong. Hopefully the current
international pressure being brought on Indonesia may
result in a reasonable compromise, perhaps facilitating
the establishment of the region as an autonomous area
within the Indonesian Republic. Administrative prece-
dents for such action-—Aceh in northernmost Sumatra,
Yogyakarta in central Java——have worked reasonably
well. If the current military repression continues, rebel
forces there may in the future successfully regroup.
The case of East Timor is a clear example of selective
Western interest in human rights abuses (Dunn; 1983).
The Indonesian invasion of the area occurred shortly
after the fall of Saigon. Jakarta was concerned that the
leftist Fretilin independence forces would prove to be
a major security risk to the republic. Washington
assisted the Indonesian military with significant
equipment sales-—OI-I-10 Bronco aircraft directed
specifically toward the counterinsurgency require-
ments of the Indonesian armed forces in Timor.
China- Vietnam. The China—Vietnam border wit-
nessed a major military conflict in early 1979. The
history of Vietnam is essentially that of a relatively
small country defending national territory against an
aggressive colossus to the north. The wars with France
and the United States are fundamentally subtexts on
the unique cultural and politicomilitary relationship
between China and Vietnam. Because both states are
currently ideologically consistent, ancient animosities
and contemporary trade and territorial disputes-—the
Spratly and Paracel Islands—most probably will
remain muted in the near future. Chinese military
expansion and internal armament procurement are of
concem throughout Southeast Asia. This is particu-
larly true in Vietnam, where disputes over the South
China Sea islands have broken out in fierce, if abbre-
viated, conflict in the recent past.
123
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.