Documents / FOIA release

(Estimated Pub Date) the Challenge of Ethnic Conflict to National and International Order in the 1990S: Geographic Perspectives- October 1995

Central Intelligence Agency · 1995-10-01 · 205 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Central Intelligence Agency conference report, numbered RTT 95-10039 and dated October 1995, presents the proceedings of a conference held 30 September to 1 October 1993. The CIA's Geographic Resources Division sponsored the conference. In it, academic geographers, anthropologists and US Government officials examined ethnic conflict by region, covering Eastern Europe, the former Soviet Union, Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and South Asia. The report also discusses what these conflicts mean for US policy. It does not deal with UFOs or unidentified aerial phenomena.

  • p. 50 …For example, Muslim Serbs and Muslim Croats never defined them- selves as a people. They never…
  • p. 51 …I think that’s very crucial to under- standing why the Albanians never claimed Kosovo. Of…
  • p. 62 …be taught as a second foreign language, never as the first, and d_) less information and…
  • p. 78 …It never was. It might be useful, instead, to view the Soviet Union as a colonial…
  • p. 91 …As such, the ability of states to get from their people what they want has never…
  • p. 92 …The peoples of Africa never chose what their bound- aries should be—they were imposed by…
  • p. 93 …I never would have sent them in the first place. I thought our job was to…
  • p. 109 …Most of the provisions of this agreement were never imple- mented, and Kurdish autononiy became a…
  • p. 110 …those remaining in Lebanon, that prospect was never accepted by Muslims. The absence of believable data…
  • p. 112 …the vast majority of them—who have never known democracy. Other hopes can be enter- tained…
  • p. 114 …But in this region we can never say never, as evi- denced by the recent gasp…
  • p. 116 …Although Sovietologists could never have predicted the rapid events that dismantled the USSR at the beginning…
  • p. 119 …The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is…
  • p. 120 …What is going on here? National identities, although imagined, are never arbi- trary but arise in…
  • p. 121 …be one reason why these categories have never been challenged. The very Confucian practice of the…
  • p. 123 …These ethnic identities are “imagined” in Ben Ander- son’s (1983) terms, but they are never…
  • p. 133 …Inter- vention in the cause of the exacerbation of ethnic conflict should never be justified. Intervention…
  • p. 141 …Sociocultural identities in South Asia have never been fixed. The corporate mobility of particular groups, some…
  • p. 147 …Although never posing a serious challenge to Congress, the Mahasabha was particularly influential in the period…
  • p. 157 …were always moderate and that the extremists never represented the Sikh rank and file. One fundamental…
  • p. 166 …These are the people who have never had any form of internationally recognized status and who…
  • p. 169 …ways to enter as illegal immigrants and never get counted. 1 I Another important point to…
  • p. 177 …The -French nation never managed to incorpo- rate the adjacent French-speaking Belgian Walloons or the…
  • p. 186 …The reason Armenians still hate Turks is that there has never been reconciliation. Similarly there will…
  • p. 204 …You are never going to have total agreement on mov- ing boundaries. In fact, hundreds of…
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Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268
historical power lines are noted in Frank Dikotter’s
recent book, The Discourse bf Race in Modern China.
During the Qing, interethnic conflicts (fenlei xiedou)
or “armed battles to separate types (lei),” became
common between Han and Muslims; Hakka (a minor-
ity group of southeast China) and Hoklo (Hokkien-
speaking Chinese); and Hakka and Punti (native Can-
tonese). Ethnic feuds strove to “clear the boundaries”
by ejecting exogenous groups from their respective
tenitories. Such ethnic clashes could be extremely
violent: a major conflict between the Hakka and Punti
in 1856-67 took a toll of 100,000 victims. The
reformers’ interpretation of racial war was based on
lineage feuds. This vision was sustained by the
semantic similarity between zu as lineage and zu as
race. “Race,” as will be demonstrated in the next
chapter, would create nationhood. On the basis of
internal conflicts between lineages, the reformers
constructed a representationof extemal conflicts
between races (Dikotter, 1992: 70-71).
In an articulated hierarchy of escalating opposition,
interlineage conflicts became the model for anti-
foreignism—“us” against “them,” our race against
theirs. It is this awareness of intemal conflict, lineage,
ethnic, and racial difference that drives a deep-seated
anxiety about the possibility of China breaking up.
The Chinese, in my opinion,‘ never take China for
granted, culturally, politically, or otherwise. This is
because most Chinese are all too aware of how easily
and naturally China could break into its constituent
parts. It was widely believed for a short period follow-
ing the Tiananmen crackdown that the Beijing-based
forces were more loyal to their city’s residents and
would refuse to obey the command, while other
armies, such as the Wuhan-based military district,
were loyal to Deng Xiao-pin'g. At one point, heavy
gunfire was widely reported to be heard on the out-
skirts of the city. It was thought to be between the var-
ious military forces converging on the city. These
deep-seated fears reflected aconcem that China was
on the verge of spiraling into a civil disunion reminis-
cent of the warlord era, when local militarists com-
manded personal armies and built up cultural,
linguistic, and regional political power bases.
lll
The “Official” Minority Nationalities and Ethnic
Separatism
China is a multinational, multiethnic nation with
55 “official” minority nationality groups, identified
mainly in the 1950s, that now total more than 92 mil-
lion in population (see Dreyer 1976). This includes
l0 Muslim nationalities—with a total population of at
least 20 million—located primarily on China’s bor-
ders with Russia and the new mainly Muslim Central
Asian States. In the south, there are nearly I2 million
Austro-Malay—speaking Zhuang people on the Viet-
nam border and more than 24 separate minority
groups in Yunnan Province alone, where cross-border
relations with Bumia, Cambodia, and Thailand have
increased dramatically in the past few years. The state
has assigned levels of minority autonomous adminis-
tration. There are five autonomous regions, scores of
autonomous districts, and hundreds of autonomous
counties and villages. Autonomous here primarily
means that there is more local control over the admin-
istration of such things as resources, taxes, birth plan-
ning, education, and legal jurisdiction. It does not
mean that control is in minority hands. Although most
minority regions and districts have minority govern-
ment leaders, the Communist Party in all these areas is
dominated by the Han majority, reflecting China’s
active watch over these so-called autonomous areas.
The recent detonation of two bombs in a Kashgar
Hotel in southern Xinjiang that killed at least six peo-
ple convinced Beijing that its fears were well founded
regarding Uighur separatism and the increasing influ-
ence from the newly independent Turkic states on its
borders. The longstanding struggles of Tibetan inde-
pendence movements are also well documented (see
Goldstein 1990). This supports the 1970s prediction
by Victor Louis, understood to be a Soviet intelligence
operative, who wrote in The Coming Decline of the
Chinese Empire that China would fall apart due to the
“national aspirations of the Manchu, Mongols,
Uighurs, Tibetans, and other non-Chinese peoples”
(cited in Friedman 1993: 270).
Approved for Release: 2018/06/01 C00123268

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 205 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.