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Black Vault compilation, pp. 91-93

The Black Vault · 134 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Black Vault compilation contains a September 1997 reply from the Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense to John Greenewald's FOIA request, enclosing its UFO records. The enclosures include a Navy information sheet dismissing the Philadelphia Experiment and an Air Force UFO fact sheet listing 12,618 Project Blue Book sightings, 701 of them unidentified. They also include the National Academy of Sciences review endorsing the University of Colorado report and the concluding pages of a 1994 Air Force Roswell report attributing the wreckage to Project MOGUL.

or man-made phenomena, twelve provided insufficient data for anal~is,
and seven were considered to be possible fabrications; none proved to
be "real objects with high strangeness." )
Teohni call y trained personne 1 were utili zed by the Uni. ve r s 1 t y.
The University gz'Oup included a sub-group on field investigation:s of
UFO reports; their narration and interpretations or cases are reasonable
and adequate. Leading gt'Cups were engaged uncler contract for specialized
work-- e.g., Stanford Research Institute on radar anomalies and a subsidiary
or the Raytheon Corporation for photograDIII.etric analyses. Divergent
Views or those rev scientists who have looked into · UFO:s were taken into
account. The history or the subject was also surveyed, including the
experiences in some other nations. Finally, extensive use was made
or many specialists in various public and private laboratories.
The Report makes clear that with the best means at our disposal, positive
correlation or all UFO reports with identifiable, known phenomena is
not possible. No study, past, current or future, can provide the basis
for stating categorically that a familiar phenomenon will necessarily
be linkable to every sighting. The Report 1! free or dogmatism
on this matter. It is also clear, as one goes through the
descriptions of UFO sightings, whether in the Report or in other literature,
that while some incidents have no positive identification with familiar
phenomena, they also have no positive identification with extraterrestrial
visitors or artifacts.
We think the methodology and approach were well chosen, in accordance
with accepted standards of scientific investigation.
UI. FINDINGS
The study concludes (a) that about 90 percent of all UFO reports
prove to be quite plausibly related to ordinary phenomena, (b) that
little if anything hu COlle fraa the stuey or UFOs in the past 21 years
that has added to scientific knowledge, and (c) that further extensive
study or· UFo sightings is not justified in the expectation that science
will be advanced thereby. At the same time it is emphasized in the
Report that (c) is an opinion based on evidence now available.
The Report's findings and evaluations -- essentially eight in number,
presented in its first section -- are concerned with official secrecy
on UFOs, UFOs as a possible defense hazard, the future governmental
han411ng or OFO-sighting reports, and five of them relate to the question
or wbat it any further investigation of O'FOs appear warranted in the
light or the study. We paraphrase and s•mnarize these findings and ·
evaluations be:ow, appending our comments.
1. On secrecy. Is the subject "shrouded in official secrecy"?
The study found no basis for this contention.
We accept this qnding or the stu.dy.
Attachment 2, pg 7

Cases discussed

  • Roswell Incident 1947
    most likely source of the wreckage recovered from the Brazel Ranch was ... Project MOGUL balloon trains

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