Documents / Report
The All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office issued this information paper in December 2024 on how sunlight reflecting off Starlink and other Low Earth Orbit satellites can be mistaken for UAP. It explains the difference between diffuse and specular reflection, Starlink trains, and flares, and it gives a step-by-step method for predicting flare windows. The method is shown with AARO photographs taken near Sidney, Nebraska, and applied to a 2022 airline pilot report near Gallup, New Mexico. AARO concluded that the lights in that report were very likely satellite flares.
All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) 7 the Sun and the Earth’s surface at the horizon as viewed from an observer’s position on the earth. During the day, solar altitude is a positive number expressed in degrees above the horizon. Solar altitude is negative at night, expressed in degrees below the horizon. Solar azimuth describes the angle to the Sun as referenced from true North at the observer’s position, e.g., 90° being due East and 270° being due West. Seasonal changes affect the measurement of solar azimuth because of the Earth's 23.5° axial tilt. In the northern hemisphere, the Sun appears to rise and set further north each day between the winter and summer solstices. After the summer solstice, this cycle reverses, and the Sun rises and sets further south each day until the winter solstice. Thus, the specific azimuths of the rising and setting Sun are also dependent on the observer’s latitude [13]. There are many online resources that will calculate the Sun’s altitude and azimuth at a given time and date for a specific observer’s location expressed in latitude and longitude [14] [15]. Similarly, the satellite’s altitude with respect to an observer’s position can be represented by an angle above the horizon. This look angle is the elevation angle from the horizon to the observation point in the sky, i.e., the point in the sky to potentially see flares. These geometries are shown in Figure 9. The following calculations provide a guide to help observers predict when and where they might be able to view a satellite flare in the night sky. This is an approximate mathematical treatment and meant to be a guideline good to within a few degrees to help the observer estimate the look angles and times for Starlink flares. Figure 9: Cartoon of Sun’s altitude and azimuth as referenced to the location of an observer on the Earth. Also defined is the look angle to observation point in the sky. Using equations (11), (1) and (5) in reference [16], we can calculate the look angle to the satellite, e, as a function of the Sun’s altitude, 𝑎𝑎. 𝑎𝑎(𝜀𝜀) = 𝜋𝜋 2 − 𝜀𝜀 − sin−1 � 𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸 𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸+ℎ sin �𝜋𝜋 2 − 𝜀𝜀�� + cos−1 � 𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸 𝑅𝑅𝐸𝐸+ℎ�, (1)
Report, from the aaro collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is above. 19 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.